Hey y'all. Hopefully you have had better success than I have this fantasy season. In one league, touchdowns have been very far and few between. I still feel like I have a solid team, but man it stinks to be looking at an 0-2 record. Seriously, I have two touchdowns scored for my entire team this season, outside of my QB. Touchdowns are so fluky. Luckily, I've had the a top priority pick on the waiver wire after the first few weeks so I've been able to add some potentially great pieces, which allowed me to make an intriguing trade and add Rob Gronkowski to my team.
Back to week 3, let's get down and dirty with some advice! Here are my "starts" of the week.
RB - Stevan Ridley
If I asked you how Baltimore has ranked against the run so far this season, you may be surprised to hear that they are ranked 20th in the NFL, allowing an average of 129 yards per game this season. While they have some great pieces on defense, they are getting quite a few miles on them. I think the thought of Brady shredding them down field with the pass, might open up the running game for Ridley. I think he's a strong start for RB2, possibly a low-end RB1 for those Matt Forte owners who didn't draft Michael Bush. I'll give Ridley the green light for week 3, even if it is against the once great Baltimore defense.
Prediction: 19 carries, 95 yards, 1 TD - 15 points.
WR - Eric Decker
I've been very high on Decker throughout the draft season. Seriously, I have him on both of my main teams. Now, I know Demaryius Thomas has seen the most success this season. But, it's not like Decker is being ignored. He's got 9 receptions through the first two weeks, but hasn't gotten the yardage or seen the end zone yet. Thomas has been fortunate in turning some short passes into long plays. It's clear that Manning it trying to get the ball to both of these guys. If you are like me, stay the course! Decker will get his numbers, and I think you'll start reaping those rewards this week.
Prediction: 7 receptions, 85 yards, 1 TD - 14 points.
DST - Dolphins
You might say, "Monty, this sounds a little fishy." Well, first and foremost I will tell you, that Dolphins are mammals, not fish. Secondly, I will tell you that the Dolphins are currently ranked 4th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed. I know, I know, it's only been two games so far. But when your first two games of the season are against Arian Foster, and Darren McFadden, I think you can take a little bit away from that. This week, the Dolphins host the Jets. Now, I don't know if you've seen the Jets play, but they have been known to sometimes have problems throwing the ball, and rely a little more on the running game. If you add in the notion that Mark Sanchez isn't exactly a hall of fame QB, and the offense in general can leave you wanting more, I could see the Dolphins putting up a pretty solid defense this week.
Prediction: 13 points allowed, 3 sacks, 2 INT - 11 points.
These are my "sits" of the week.
QB - Joe Flacco
I don't have many stats to back up this pick, but I could see the Patriots getting up by a couple touchdowns, forcing the Ravens to attack through the air. Flacco could potentially get into some trouble if this is the case.
Prediction: 265 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT - 10 points
RB - Steven Jackson
This shouldn't be a surprise, as Jackson has not practiced yet this week. Even if he does go, the Rams are traveling to Chicago to take on a Bears that got embarrassed last week. Look for them to shut down the Rams offense, even if S-Jax gets the start.
Prediction: 14 carries, 55 yards, 0 TD - 5 Points.
WR - Larry Fitzgerald
I know, I try to preach the concept of "start your studs", but dang... Fitz is just stuck in an unfortunate situation with the revolving door of QBs on his team. I heard this stat from Matthew Berry; out of the 10 games that Fitz has played with Kolb starting at QB, he has two touchdowns. Until the QB situation get a little more solidified, I'd be very nervous about starting Fitz.
Prediction: 4 receptions, 55 yards, 0 TD - 5 points.
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